For other versions of this document, see http://wikileaks.org/wiki/CRS-97-81 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Order Code 97-81 EPW CRS Report for Congress Received through the CRS Web Social Security: Recommendations of the 1994-1996 Advisory Council on Social Security Updated May 7, 1997 Geoffrey Kollmann Specialist in Social Legislation Education and Public Welfare Division Congressional Research Service ~ The Library of Congress Social Security: Recommendations of the 1994-1996 Advisory Council on Social Security Summary In 1994, the Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) appointed the last quadrennial Advisory Council on Social Security. At that time, the Social Security Act stipulated that every 4 years the Secretary of HHS appoint an Advisory Council on Social Security for the purpose of reviewing the status of the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance (OASDI -- usually regarded as "Social Security") Trust Funds, as well as the Hospital Insurance and Supplementary Medical Insurance (Medicare) Trust Funds. When announcing the appointment of the Advisory Council, the Secretary asked the Council to focus only on the Social Security program, and specifically requested that it examine the program's long-range financial status, as well as the adequacy and equity of its benefits and the relative roles of the public and private sectors in providing retirement income. Although not stated as such, this charge reflected a general concern about Social Security's long-range solvency and the growing loss of public confidence in the system. These problems are reflected in the long-range projections of Social Security's income and outgo. Although currently Social Security's income exceeds its outgo, its board of trustees projects that over the next 75 years its expenditures will exceed its income on average by 16%. The primary reasons are demographic: an aging post- World War II "baby boom" generation, declining birth rates, and increasing life expectancies are creating an older society. It is projected that by 2029 the program's trust funds would be fully depleted and the system would be technically insolvent. On January 6, 1997, the 1994-1996 Advisory Council on Social Security issued its report on ways to solve the program's long-range financing problems. As the Council could not reach a consensus on a particular approach, the report contains three different proposals that are intended to attain the goal of restoring long-range solvency to the Social Security system. The first proposal, labeled the "maintain benefits" plan, keeps the program's benefit structure essentially the same by addressing most of the long-range deficit through revenue increases, including an eventual rise in the payroll tax, and minor benefit cuts. To close the remaining gap, it recommends that investing part of the Social Security trust funds in the stock market be considered. The second, labeled the "individual account" plan, restores financial solvency mostly with reductions in benefits, and in addition imposes mandatory employee contributions to individual savings accounts. The third, labeled the "personal security account" plan, achieves long-range financial balance through a major redesign of the system that gradually replaces a major portion of the Social Security retirement benefit with individual private savings accounts. Contents The Financial Picture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 The Advisory Council's Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 The Maintain Benefits Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 The Individual Account Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 The Personal Security Account Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Commission Membership . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Appendix. Comparison of Advisory Council Plans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Social Security: Recommendations of the 1994-1996 Advisory Council on Social Security The 1994-1996 Advisory Council was appointed in 1994 under the requirements of then-current law,1 which stipulated that every 4 years the Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) appoint an Advisory Council on Social Security for the purpose of reviewing the status of the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance (OASDI -- usually regarded as "Social Security") Trust Funds, as well as the Hospital Insurance (HI) and Supplementary Insurance (Medicare) Trust Funds. The law also required that the Council consist of a chairman and 12 other persons, appointed by the Secretary, representing organizations of employers and employees, the self- employed and the public. The Secretary, Donna E Shalala, appointed as Chairman, Edward Gramlich, Dean of the School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan. He and the other members of the Council are listed on page 6 of this report. When announcing the appointment of the Advisory Council, the Secretary of HHS asked the Council to focus only on the Social Security program, and specifically requested that it examine the program's long-range financial status, as well as the adequacy and equity of its benefits and the relative roles of the public and private sectors in providing retirement income. Although not stated as such, this charge reflected a general concern about Social Security's long-range solvency and the growing loss of public confidence in the system. The Financial Picture Although currently Social Security's income exceeds its outgo, its board of trustees projects that over the next 75 years its expenditures will exceed its income on average by 16%. The primary reasons are demographic: an aging post-World War II "baby boom" generation, declining birth rates, and increasing life expectancies are creating an older society. The number of people 65 and older is predicted to nearly double by 2025, whereas the number of workers whose taxes will finance their Social Security benefits is projected to grow by only 17%. As a result, the ratio of 1 There have been 13 Advisory Councils since the beginning of the program, but this is the last. As part of P.L. 103-296, which made the Social Security Administration an independent agency in 1995, Congress created a permanent Advisory Board and abolished future Advisory Councils. CRS-2 workers to Social Security recipients is projected to fall from 3.2 to 1 today to 2.0 to 1 in 20302. Excess Social Security revenues are invested in U.S. The Projected Slide government securities recorded to Towards Insolvency the OASDI "trust funds" maintained -- Spending exceeds tax revenues in 2012 by the Treasury Department. In -- OASDI trust funds peak in 2018 April 1997, the trustees projected -- OASDI funds insolvent in 2029 that the balance of these trust funds would peak at $2.9 trillion in 2018. However, OASDI spending would begin lagging tax receipts in 2012. At that point general revenues would be needed, first to pay interest on the securities held by the trust funds, and then beginning in 2019 to redeem them. By 2029 the trust funds would be fully depleted and the system would be technically insolvent. The problem is not unprecedented. In 1977 and 1983, Congress enacted a variety of measures to address financial problems similar to those currently being forecast. Among them were increases in payroll taxes, partial taxation of the benefits received by higher-income recipients, and a gradual increase from 65 to 67 in Social Security's "full retirement age," which is the age required to receive full benefits. However, those changes were not sufficient to maintain balance in the system in the latter part of the next century, and this combined with more pessimistic projections of factors such as economic growth, birth rates, and the incidence of disability, has led to the return of long-term deficit forecasts. Several bills were introduced in the 103rd and 104th Congresses to deal with the issue. Bills in the 103rd included raising the full retirement age to 70, modifying cost- of-living-adjustments (COLAs) and increasing taxes. Several bills in the 104th included privatizing a portion of the program. The Advisory Council's Report The Advisory Council began to meet in 1994. During its deliberations, general agreement was reached on the need to eliminate the long-range deficit, and on some specific measures that would help to reduce program costs. However, no consensus developed on a single approach that would restore long-range solvency. Instead, three different philosophies emerged, each supported by a different faction of the Council. One was based on the premise that as much of the program's benefits should be preserved as possible, and thus part of the solution should include increases in the payroll tax rate. Another was based on the belief that the system's cost basically must be held within the current revenue structure, but with mandatory individual savings added on to help provide adequate future retirement income. The third was based on the idea that the system basically is unsustainable without fundamental restructuring, 2 See the 1997 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds, Intermediate projections. CRS-3 and that restructuring should shift more of the role of providing retirement income from Social Security to individual savings. Eventually three proposals emerged. The first, labeled the "maintain benefits" (MB) plan, supported by six members of the Council, addressed most of the long- range deficit through revenue increases, including a rise in the Social Security payroll tax in 2045, and a small cut in benefits. To close the remaining gap, it recommended that investing part of the Social Security trust funds in the stock market be considered. The second, labeled the "individual account" (IA) plan, supported by two members of the Council, restored financial solvency without increasing the payroll tax but with more significant reductions in benefits, and in addition imposed mandatory employee contributions to individual savings accounts based on the notion that the loss in Social Security benefits should be offset by increased individual savings. The third, labeled the "personal security account" (PSA) plan, supported by five members of the Council, likewise achieves long-range financial balance through a fundamental redesign of the system by gradually replacing a major portion of the retirement program with individual private savings accounts. The three proposals share some features. All would mandate Social Security coverage of newly hired state and local government employees, increase the taxation of Social Security benefits, reduce initial Social Security benefits by various changes in the benefit formula, and assume that pending revisions in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will result in COLAs in the future that will be lower by 0.21 percentage points. Both the IA and PSA plans raise the retirement age and modify surviving spouse benefits. Following is a description of the specific features of each proposal. A side-by- side comparison of the three proposals and current law is in the appendix. The Maintain Benefits Plan (Supported by Council Members Ball, Johnson, Jones, Kourpias, Shea, Fierst) 1. All state and local government employees hired after 1997 would be required to participate in Social Security. 2. The number of years of highest earnings used in computing a worker's basic retirement benefit, the "Primary Insurance Amount" (PIA), would increase from 35 to 36 in 1997, 37 in 1998, and 38 in 1999 and thereafter. (It was suggested as an alternative that the payroll tax be increased in 1998 by 0.15 percentage points on employers and employees, each.) 3. Beginning in 1998, Social Security benefits would be taxable like other contributory pensions, i.e., fully taxable except for the part of the pension attributable to the workers own contributions on which income tax has already been paid. Current law subjects a maximum of 85% of benefits to the income tax, and only if a recipient's income exceeds certain thresholds. Three-quarters of current recipients pay no income tax on their benefits because their income is under these thresholds. These thresholds would be phased out between 1998 CRS-4 and 2007. Also, all of the revenue generated from the taxation of benefits would go to Social Security (currently, part goes to Medicare). 4. The payroll tax would go up by 0.8 percentage points, on employers and employees, each, in 2045. 5. As a final possible measure, it is urged that an option to invest part of the Social Security trust funds in stocks (in funds indexed to reflect the overall performance of the market) be further studied and evaluated. The Individual Account Plan (Supported by Council Members Gramlich, Twinney) 1. All state and local government employees hired after 1997 would be required to participate in Social Security. 2. Social Security benefits would be taxable as in the MB plan, but there is no provision for the redirection of tax revenue from Medicare to Social Security. 3. The increase in the Social Security full retirement age to age 67 would be moved forward to apply to those born in 1949 and later, and further increases in the full retirement age would be tied to further increases in longevity. (Current law phases in the increase from age 65 in two steps, by increasing the age by 2 months for each year that a person is born after 1937, until it reaches age 66 for those born in 1943. After a 12-year pause, the age is increased again by raising the age by 2 months for each year that a person is born after 1954, until it reaches age 67 for those born in 1960 and later.) The proposal eliminates this hiatus in increasing the full retirement age and indexes the full retirement age thereafter (early retirement would still be available, but would be reduced, on an actuarial basis, as the full retirement age rises). 4. Benefits, especially for higher-paid workers, gradually would be reduced (i.e., compared to current law). To do so, the formula for determining the PIA would be modified by gradually lowering the 32% and 15% replacement of earnings factors to 22.4% and 10.5%, respectively, by 2030.3 5. The computation of a retired worker's PIA would by 1999 be based on the highest 38 years of earnings, as described in the MB plan. 6. Beginning in 2000, benefits payable to dependent spouses would be gradually lowered, from 50% to 33% of the worker's PIA by 2016. 3 Social Security is designed to replace a higher proportion of earnings for low-paid workers than for high-paid workers. This is done through a formula that calculates the PIA by applying three progressively lower replacement factors (90%, 32%, and 15%) to a worker's average career earnings. For example, for workers attaining age 62 in 1997, the formula is 90% of first $455 of average indexed monthly earnings (AIME), plus 32% of next $2,248, plus 15% of AIME over $2,741. CRS-5 7. Surviving spouse's benefits for two-earner couples would be augmented by assuring that aged widows and widowers would receive at least 75 % of the Social Security benefits payable to the couple while both were still alive, phased in over 1998 to 2037. 8. Beginning in 1998, workers would mandatorily contribute an additional 1.6 % of their Social Security taxable earnings to individual accounts (IAs) that would be held by the U.S. government. The accumulated funds would not be available to the worker until he or she becomes eligible for retirement, and would be converted to a single or joint minimum guarantee indexed annuity4 when the worker elects retirement. The Personal Security Account Plan (Supported by Council Members Bok, Combs, Schieber, Vargas, Weaver) 1. For workers under age 55 in 1998, 5 percentage points of the employee share of the Social Security tax would be diverted to personal security accounts (PSAs), which would be invested at the discretion of the worker subject to regulatory restrictions to make sure they were invested in financial instruments widely available in financial markets and that they were held solely for retirement purposes. The accounts would not be available until the worker is age 62, at which point they could be used by the worker for any purpose. 2. For workers participating in the PSAs, Social Security benefits would gradually be reduced. Ultimately, retirement benefits would evolve into two tiers, where the Social Security benefit (Tier 1) would be based solely on length of service (e.g., workers with a minimum of 35 years of coverage would receive the same amount -- about $410 a month in 1996 dollars). The Social Security retirement benefit of workers who are ages 25 to 54 in 1998 would be their accrued benefit under the current system plus a prorated share of the Tier 1 benefit. 3. To finance the transition to the new system, the U.S. Treasury would issue approximately $2 trillion (in 1996 dollars) in bonds to the public over the next 40 years. The Treasury bonds would be repaid by the excess of tax revenue that is projected to occur in the latter part of the transition period (from about 2035 to 2069). 4. Workers and their employers would pay an additional payroll tax of 0.76%, each, (1.52% combined) over the period 1998-2069. 5. The earnings test would be eliminated gradually over 1998-2002 for individuals who have attained the full retirement age. 4 I.e., annuities would be indexed to rise with inflation and there would be a guarantee that, if the worker died before or slightly after retirement, some portion of the value of the accrued savings would be payable in all cases. If the worker is married, a joint and survivor annuity must be paid unless the spouse declines it. CRS-6 6. The full retirement age would increase as in the IA plan, but in addition the age for earliest retirement would increase by the same amount, until it reaches age 65. Thereafter, the early retirement age would remain at age 65, but further increases in the full retirement age (because it would be indexed to rise with increases in longevity) would increase the actuarial reduction applied to early retirement benefits. 7. For persons disabled after 1997, the initial monthly benefit would be reduced by the same factor as that of a worker retiring at age 65 in that year (which means that disabled workers would receive less than the full PIA if the relevant full retirement age is more than age 65), but in no event would they receive less than 70% of the PIA. Disabled workers would continue to convert to the retirement rolls at age 65, when their benefits would be recomputed under the new retirement rules. 8. All state and local government employees hired after 1997 would be required to participate in Social Security. 9. Beginning in 1998, the maximum portion of Social Security benefits subject to taxation would be 50%, and no revenue from the taxation of benefits would go to Medicare. The income thresholds would be phased out over 1998-2007. When Tier 1 Social Security benefits become available, they would be 100% taxable, but withdrawals from the PSA would be tax-free. 10. Social Security surviving spouse benefits would be modified as in the IA plan. Commission Membership Edward Gramlich, Dean, School of Public Policy, University of Michigan (Chairman of the Advisory Council). Robert Ball, Chair of the Board, National Academy of Social Insurance, former Commissioner of Social Security. Joan Bok, Chairman, New England Electric System. Ann Combs, Principal, William M. Mercer, Inc. Edith Fierst, Attorney at Law, Fierst and Moss, P.C. Gloria Johnson, Director, Dept. of Social Action, International Union of Electronic, Salaried, Machine and Furniture Workers, AFL-CIO. Thomas Jones, Vice Chairman, President and Chief Operating Officer, Teacher Insurance and Annuity Association-College Retirement Equities Fund (TIAA- CREF). George Kourpias, President, International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, AFL-CIO. Sylvester Schieber, Vice President, Watson Wyatt Worldwide Company. Gerald Shea, Assistant to the Director for Governmental Affairs, AFL-CIO. Marc Twinney, Director of Pensions (retired), Ford Motor Co. Fidel Vargas, Mayor, Baldwin Park, CA. Carolyn Weaver, Director, Social Security and Pension Issues, American Enterprise Institute (AEI). CRS-7 Appendix. Comparison of Advisory Council Plans Maintain Individual Personal security Feature Present law benefits (MB) accounts (IA) accounts (PSA) Main Features Overview Pays earnings- Maintains current Scales back benefits to Evolves to a two-tier related benefits benefit structure fit within projected system: (1) a flat to retired and with some revenues. Adds a new benefit and (2) a disabled workers changes in government- mandatory personal and their families benefits and administered security account and to survivors revenues, and mandatory individual (PSA) to be managed of deceased recommends for savings plan to by individuals. All workers; further study a supplement the lower workers under 55 in financed by new investment future benefits, 1998 would have dedicated payroll policy for trust effective for all workers PSAs. The two-tier taxes and income fund reserves. beginning in 1998. system would apply taxes on benefits. fully to workers under age 25 in 1998 (age 62 in 2035). Financing: Social Security Increase tax rate Workers would pay an Five percentage points deductions tax rate is 6.2% by 0.8 percentage additional 1.6% of of worker's current from for employers points for covered earnings into payroll tax rate would worker's and employees, employers and individual accounts. be redirected into earnings each. employees each, PSAs. Workers and in 2045. their employers would pay an additional payroll tax of 0.76%, each, over the period 1998-2069. Financing: Not applicable Not applicable Not applicable Transition financed by borrowing borrowing from the approximately $2 public trillion (1996 dollars) over 40 years. Investment Not applicable Not applicable Worker would allocate Workers would invest of savings funds among a choice in financial accounts of government- instruments widely administered indexed available in the funds and must hold market. PSAs would them until retirement. be available to worker only at retirement. CRS-8 Maintain Individual Personal security Feature Present law benefits (MB) accounts (IA) accounts (PSA) Trust fund Trust funds are Recommends for No change from present No change from investment invested solely in further study that law. present law. policy U.S. government up to 40% of or U.S. trust fund government- reserves be backed invested in private securities. market, phased in 2000-2015. An independent board would select a broad market index for trust fund investment. Generic Changes Benefits are No change in law. (Same as MB plan) (Same as MB plan) Cost of adjusted each Assumes the BLS Living year to rise in revision to the Adjustment proportion to the CPI will result in (COLA) increase in the COLAs that are consumer price lower by -0.21 index (CPI) percentage points. compiled by the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS). Social States have the Mandates that all (Same as MB plan) (Same as MB plan) Security option to choose state and local coverage Social Security workers hired coverage for after 1997 would State & local be covered by government Social Security. employees. CRS-9 Maintain Individual Personal security Feature Present law benefits (MB) accounts (IA) accounts (PSA) Old Age Benefits Full FRA will No change Accelerates the rise in Same as IA, except retirement gradually rise FRA so it reaches 67 that projected age (FRA) from 65 to 66 for for those born after increases in the FRA those born in 1948. Thereafter, after reaches age 67 in 1938 through indexes FRA to rise 2011 would be put 1943, remain at with longevity into the law, subject to 66 for those born (estimated to be 1 review every 10 years in 1944 through month every 2 years). by the Social Security 1954, and then Board of Trustees. gradually rise to 67 for those born in 1955 through 1960 and thereafter. Earliest EEA is 62, with No change EEA remains 62 and EEA rises with the eligibility a 20% actuarial reduction increases FRA. Reduction in age (EEA) reduction, rising beyond 30% as FRA Tier 1 benefit at EEA for to 30% when rises beyond age 67. is 20% until EEA retirement FRA is 67. reaches 65. benefits Thereafter EEA remains 65 and the reduction increases as FRA rises. Calculation Average indexed Lengthen the (Same as MB plan) For transitional of average monthly earnings computation retirement benefits, lifetime (AIME) based period from 35 to the computation earnings on highest 35 38 years by 1999. period would expand years. to 38 years as the earliest eligibility age rises to 65 (see below), but the associated later date for wage indexing roughly offsets the benefit reduction. CRS-10 Maintain Individual Personal security Feature Present law benefits (MB) accounts (IA) accounts (PSA) Benefit PIA= 90% of No change Gradually lowers the Basic benefit evolves formula first $455 of top two percentage to a flat "Tier 1" AIME, plus 32% rates of the PIA amount ($410 a month of next $2,248, formula from 32% and in 1996$ for a worker plus 15% of 15% to 22.4% and with 35 or more years AIME over 10.5%, respectively. of earnings). Workers $2,741, for (The 32% and 15% with 10 years workers reaching factors are reduced for coverage would get 62 in 1997. new eligibles by 0.5% half the Tier 1 benefit AIME bend {multiplied by 0.995} (prorated if coverage points are each year during 1998- is between 10-35 adjusted each 2011, and by 1.5% years). Tier 1 benefit year to rise in {multiplied by 0.985} is indexed by wage proportion to the each year during 2012- growth before growth in 2030.) The change eligibility and by CPI average wages. ultimately lowers basic thereafter. Workers benefits by 17% for ages 25-54 in 1998 average earners, 22% would receive a for high earners, 8% partial PIA-based for low earners. benefit for work before 1998. Income Not applicable Not applicable It is required that IAs PSA becomes from would be converted to available at age 62. savings an inflation-indexed Worker would use it accounts annuity when the as he or she chooses. worker retires. If married, a joint and survivor annuity would be paid unless spouse declines it. Treatment Not applicable Not applicable IA would be held for Any funds in the PSA of savings the surviving spouse at the worker's death account if and be available (in the would become part of worker dies form of an annuity) at the estate. Surviving before or age 60. If no spouses would have slightly widow(er), IA would access to the PSA after become part of the when he or she retirement estate. Annuities for reaches age 62. workers would have a minimum guarantee to assure that some portion of the value of the accrued savings would be payable in all cases. CRS-11 Maintain Individual Personal security Feature Present law benefits (MB) accounts (IA) accounts (PSA) Aged 50% of spouse's No change Over 2000-2016, Higher of 50% of the spouse PIA, offset by gradually lowers aged worker's PIA, or 50% benefit 100% of their spouse benefit from of the full Tier 1 own PIA earned 50% to 33% of the benefit when the as a worker. worker's PIA. system is fully phased in. Aged Surviving No change Assures that the Same as IA. surviving spouses are surviving spouse spouse eligible for 100% benefit is at least 75% benefit of the deceased of the couple's spouse's PIA, combined benefits offset by 100% while both were alive. of their own PIA earned as a worker. Earnings Reduces benefits No change No change in Eliminates test at test of recipients application to Social FRA over 1998-2002. under age 70 Security benefits. Earnings test would who earn above Earnings test would not not apply to PSA a certain amount. apply to IA annuities. withdrawals. Disability Insurance (DI) Benefits Disability Same as for full No change Reduction in benefits DI benefits are benefit retirement due to change in calculated under formula benefits at FRA. replacement rates in the current law PIA formula used to formula, but, as the determine PIAs. (See FRA rises, new DI above.) benefits would be reduced to the percent of PIA paid to age-65 retirees (now 100%). In no event would DI benefits be lower than 70% of the PIA. Treatment Not applicable Not applicable IA would not be PSA would not be of savings available at disability. available at disability. accounts Funds would remain in Funds would remain for disabled the IA and continue to in the PSA and workers be invested in continue to be government invested by the administered accounts. worker. No new No new contributions contributions would would be made during be made during disability. disability. CRS-12 Maintain Individual Personal security Feature Present law benefits (MB) accounts (IA) accounts (PSA) Benefit at Disabled No change Disabled workers Disabled workers conversion workers shift to would continue to would continue to to retirement receive basic benefit. convert to the retirement benefits at FRA, IA would become retirement rolls at age but their benefit available. 65, when their benefits amounts do not would be recomputed change. under the new retirement rules and the PSA becomes available. Benefits for Non-aged No change Beginning in 2000, Higher of 50% of the spouses of spouses with benefits payable to worker's PIA, or 50% disabled children under eligible spouses would of the full Tier 1 workers age 16 in care be gradually lowered, benefit when the receive 50 % of from 50% to 33% of system is fully phased the worker's the worker's PIA, by in. PIA, subject to a 2016. family maximum. Young Survivor Benefits Benefit Surviving No change Reduction in benefits Young survivor Formula children and due to change in benefits would be spouse each replacement rates in the calculated under the receive 75% of formula used to present-law PIA PIA, subject to a determine the worker's formula. family PIA. (See above.) maximum. CRS-13 Maintain Individual Personal security Feature Present law benefits (MB) accounts (IA) accounts (PSA) Tax Treatment of Benefits Tax Up to 50% of Beginning in Same as in MB plan, Beginning in 1998, treatment of benefits are 1998, all benefits except no provision for 50% of benefits Social subject to income in excess of shifting income tax would be subject to Security tax if income is employee revenues on Social tax for recipients, benefits between certain contributions Security benefits from workers over age 54 thresholds would be subject Medicare to Social in 1998, the disabled, (revenues go to to income Security. and for past service Social Security taxation (i.e., in credits for workers trust funds). the same manner over age 24. When However, at prescribed for Tier 1 benefits higher income private and become available, they levels up to 85% government would be 100% of benefits are defined benefit taxable. The income taxed (additional pension plans), thresholds for benefit revenues go to and the income taxation would be Medicare's thresholds would phased out over 1998- Hospital be phased out 2007. Insurance (HI) over 1998-2007. trust fund). Effective in 1998, no Redirects benefit revenue from the taxation revenue taxation of benefits from the HI trust would go to Medicare. fund to the Social Security trust funds (phased-in over 2010-2019). Tax Not applicable Not applicable Two options are Contributions to the treatment of presented: (1) PSA would be fully mandated contributions to IA tax- taxable, the proceeds savings deductible, withdrawals from PSAs would be fully taxable; (2) tax-free. Investment contributions to IA returns would not be fully taxable, taxed. withdrawals tax-free. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For other versions of this document, see http://wikileaks.org/wiki/CRS-97-81