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Viewing cable 06DAMASCUS1698, DAMASCUS DECLARATION GROUP DECIDES NOT TO
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VZCZCXRO2793
OO RUEHAG
DE RUEHDM #1698/01 1031659
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 131659Z APR 06
FM AMEMBASSY DAMASCUS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8329
INFO RUEHXK/ARAB ISRAELI COLLECTIVE
RUCNMEM/EU MEMBER STATES COLLECTIVE
RUEHGB/AMEMBASSY BAGHDAD 0011
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 DAMASCUS 001698
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
LONDON FOR TSOU, PARIS FOR ZEYA
E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/14/2016
TAGS: PGOV PHUM SY
SUBJECT: DAMASCUS DECLARATION GROUP DECIDES NOT TO
CRITICIZE KHADDAM
REF: A. DAMASCUS 1357
¶B. DAMASCUS 1692
Classified By: Charge d'Affaires Stephen A. Seche for reasons 1.4(b)/(d
)
¶1. (C) SUMMARY: Despite intense SARG pressure, members of
the Damascus Declaration (DD) group who met April 6 decided
not to publicly attack former VP Abdul Halim Khaddam or his
recent alignment with Muslim Brother leader Sadreddin
Bayanouni in the National Salvation Front. Rejecting the
arguments of some DD signatories, led by opposition figure
Hassan Abdulazeem, the group decided merely to reiterate
publicly that there is no connection between DD efforts and
those of the NSF. Following heated debate, members also
decided to maintain the Muslim Brotherhood's membership in
the DD group, despite the MB's recent alignment with Khaddam
in the NSF. According to one prominent dissident, the group
opted for pragmatism -- choosing to let Khaddam weaken the
regime in his own way -- over any ideological concerns or
fears of SARG retribution. END SUMMARY.
¶2. (C) A highly-anticipated meeting of the DD group took
place on April 6. As noted in ref A, post contacts and the
local press had previously reported that discussion points
would include the DD group's position on the National
Salvation Front (NSF), whether to maintain the membership of
the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) following its alignment with the
NSF, and election of a new leadership committee.
Approximately twenty key members from throughout Syria
attended the meeting.
¶3. (C) SECURITY SERVICE SCRUTINY HIGH: According to human
rights activist XXXXXXXXXXXX, who is well-connected to a
number of DD group activists, many of the participants were
called in for interrogation prior to the meeting taking
place. Even non-members were targeted by the SARG: a State
Security Service colonel visited human rights lawyer XXXXXXXXXXXX at his home on April 5, asking XXXXXXXXXXXX to use his
influence with Declaration members to encourage them to
condemn Khaddam and the NSF and to kick the MB out of the
Declaration group. XXXXXXXXXXXX laughed off the colonel's
suggestion, telling him that he is not a member of the group
and cannot tell them what to do. On April 6, security
services succeeded in preventing the meeting from taking
place, as announced publicly, at the office of Declaration
spokesman Hassan Abdulazeem. The meeting was then moved to
the office of human rights lawyer XXXXXXXXXXXX, where
twenty security agents were stationed outside throughout the
meeting.
¶4. (C) DEBATE FOCUSED ON NSF, MB'S FUTURE IN DD: According
to XXXXXXXXXXXX, the meeting was focused on determining the
Declaration group's position regarding the Brussels-based
National Salvation Front, as well as whether or not to allow
the Muslim Brotherhood to remain signatories of the Damascus
Declaration. Most DD members agreed to "leave the NSF
alone," agreeing that as long as the NSF is not in opposition
to the Declaration's positions, there is no reason for coming
out against it. Members decided to publicly state that there
is no connection between the NSF and the Declaration, but not
to attack the NSF.
¶5. (C) However, a small group of Declaration figures (most
prominently Abdulazeem) was intent on kicking Bayanouni out
of the Declaration group for allying himself with Khaddam.
Abdulazeem, in the name of his political party, the
Democratic Arab Socialist Union, went so far as to make
public statements expressing their desire to remove the MB
from Declaration membership. According to contacts,
Abdulazeem's effort failed and the MB remains, for now, in
the Declaration group.
¶6. (C) CHOOSING PRAGMATISM: According to prominent
dissident and DD signatory XXXXXXXXXXXX, some DD members
like Riyad at-Turk resented the MB's failure to consult
fellow DD signatories before signing on with Khaddam. Turk
also resented the fact that Khaddam has not apologized for
his long service to the Ba'athist regime in Syria. In
XXXXXXXXXXXX's view, however, the motivations of Abdulazeem "and the
Nasserists" were motivated more by fear of SARG retribution
and pressure than sincerely held ideological convictions.
XXXXXXXXXXXX and other observers like XXXXXXXXXXXX, XXXXXXXXXXXX
(ref B), (and even XXXXXXXXXXXX, despite his reservations) insisted
that the DD group would be better served by this "vague"
position towards Khaddam and the NSF. According to XXXXXXXXXXXX,
"if we were stronger, we could afford to criticize Khaddam
more openly and express our different views." In his view,
DAMASCUS 00001698 002 OF 002
Khaddam continues to weaken the regime and "he is not our
enemy." Discounting arguments that Khaddam is too corrupt to
be a partner, XXXXXXXXXXXX insisted, "The dirtiest, most corrupt
thing is the country is the regime."
¶7. (C) WAS NEW LEADERSHIP COMMITTEE FORMED?: There is
disagreement among contacts about whether a new DD leadership
committee was also formed during this April 6 meeting. Human
rights activist XXXXXXXXXXXX told Poloff on April 13 that
Declaration members started the process, with XXXXXXXXXXXX himself
as one of three members from Damascus; another three members
from Aleppo have also been named, he said. The committee
plans to include a total of 13-15 members from within Syria,
plus an undetermined number of members from abroad. Despite
that level of specificity in XXXXXXXXXXXX's account, other contacts
disputed whether such a committee was formed, telling Poloff
they were unaware of such action.
¶8. (C) DIVISIONS, FRUSTRATIONS CONTINUE TO GROW REGARDING
NEXT STEPS...: According to XXXXXXXXXXXX, the meeting followed
"the same story" as earlier meetings, in which the same
people (particularly Abdulazeem) are afraid and are setting
"roadblocks" for further action. As long as "these people"
remain in the committee, according to XXXXXXXXXXXX, nothing will
change. XXXXXXXXXXXX was very skeptical that the Declaration group
would take any concrete steps in the near future due to the
SARG's "nervous state" and its willingness to lash out at the
opposition at any time. XXXXXXXXXXXX noted that MB chief Ali
Sadreddin Bayanouni had told him in a phone conversation that
one main reason for the MB's joining the NSF was its
frustration that the internal opposition is "working too
slowly."
¶9. (C) COMMENT: The Damascus Declaration group's decision
not to criticize Khaddam, Bayanouni, and the NSF cannot be
welcome news for the SARG. It has labored mightily in the
past three months to dismiss Khaddam as an embittered,
corrupt traitor to the nation. While the former VP can
celebrate his good fortune in steering clear of a hostile
reaction from the Syrian internal opposition, his true level
of popular support in Syria remains a matter of conjecture,
with some arguing that he is gaining traction and others
continuing to discount his prospects.
SECHE